Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.699664 1.945358 2.215354 2.534277 2.900993 3.309808 3.800618
2025-08-10 1.284447 1.590169 1.954110 2.420093 3.002130 3.706773 4.627130
2025-08-17 0.992329 1.311983 1.718933 2.276682 3.024002 3.994659 5.357526
2025-08-24 0.822600 1.151587 1.595664 2.241704 3.162481 4.435108 6.340523
2025-08-31 0.691804 1.018398 1.482559 2.194391 3.266128 4.831728 7.314577
2025-09-07 0.626954 0.966174 1.471493 2.284817 3.572675 5.552569 8.864317
2025-09-14 0.561837 0.902311 1.431495 2.321368 3.796506 6.172426 10.345322
2025-09-21 0.496736 0.828223 1.363719 2.300916 3.921016 6.644317 11.647133
2025-09-28 0.430954 0.743489 1.266461 2.215812 3.921237 6.902817 12.611914
2025-10-05 0.407643 0.727147 1.280534 2.321820 4.264554 7.795290 14.839193
2025-10-12 0.387113 0.712611 1.295040 2.428867 4.621629 8.756513 17.335293
2025-10-19 0.361720 0.685738 1.283441 2.484683 4.887575 9.578870 19.678983
2025-10-26 0.333793 0.651973 1.257354 2.514197 5.116493 10.381002 22.154104
2025-11-02 0.297150 0.596830 1.183772 2.440044 5.126860 10.747585 23.776850
2025-11-09 0.259989 0.536026 1.091552 2.315141 5.013194 10.838800 24.809814
2025-11-16 0.237181 0.501901 1.049278 2.289929 5.110511 11.396988 26.997469
2025-11-23 0.215441 0.467350 1.001865 2.246971 5.161769 11.859043 29.034578
2025-11-30 0.207479 0.461680 1.015562 2.342643 5.544564 13.136676 33.281881
2025-12-07 0.195727 0.446097 1.005448 2.381772 5.798764 14.146185 37.024824
2025-12-14 0.180878 0.421634 0.972297 2.361623 5.905121 14.809091 39.973610
2025-12-21 0.163153 0.388362 0.914860 2.274629 5.831189 15.006929 41.696950
2025-12-28 0.159233 0.387725 0.934728 2.383797 6.279266 16.622748 47.671248
2026-01-04 0.155422 0.386889 0.953974 2.493943 6.746207 18.359748 54.314309